Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000306 0.000343 0.000383 0.000429 0.000482 0.000540 0.000609
2024-12-29 0.000237 0.000289 0.000351 0.000429 0.000528 0.000647 0.000804
2025-01-05 0.000204 0.000264 0.000341 0.000447 0.000589 0.000776 0.001043
2025-01-12 0.000171 0.000233 0.000317 0.000437 0.000610 0.000851 0.001218
2025-01-19 0.000144 0.000204 0.000288 0.000416 0.000608 0.000890 0.001345
2025-01-26 0.000130 0.000191 0.000279 0.000420 0.000642 0.000984 0.001566
2025-02-02 0.000122 0.000186 0.000282 0.000440 0.000701 0.001123 0.001877
2025-02-09 0.000110 0.000173 0.000270 0.000435 0.000719 0.001197 0.002092
2025-02-16 0.000102 0.000164 0.000264 0.000440 0.000752 0.001299 0.002369
2025-02-23 0.000093 0.000154 0.000254 0.000435 0.000768 0.001374 0.002608
2025-03-02 0.000087 0.000147 0.000248 0.000438 0.000797 0.001474 0.002910
2025-03-09 0.000081 0.000140 0.000242 0.000438 0.000822 0.001570 0.003219
2025-03-16 0.000072 0.000127 0.000225 0.000419 0.000807 0.001589 0.003377
2025-03-23 0.000068 0.000122 0.000220 0.000421 0.000836 0.001703 0.003770
2025-03-30 0.000065 0.000120 0.000223 0.000438 0.000900 0.001900 0.004392
2025-04-06 0.000060 0.000112 0.000213 0.000429 0.000905 0.001969 0.004720
2025-04-13 0.000054 0.000103 0.000198 0.000408 0.000882 0.001970 0.004877
2025-04-20 0.000051 0.000099 0.000196 0.000412 0.000916 0.002111 0.005428
2025-04-27 0.000050 0.000099 0.000200 0.000432 0.000988 0.002355 0.006310
2025-05-04 0.000047 0.000094 0.000194 0.000427 0.001002 0.002455 0.006808
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000092 0.000191 0.000431 0.001038 0.002617 0.007524
2025-05-18 0.000042 0.000087 0.000186 0.000427 0.001052 0.002724 0.008095
2025-05-25 0.000040 0.000085 0.000183 0.000429 0.001083 0.002883 0.008873